Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 9

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Arandina		Cayón

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.55	3.75	6	Watch
	1.8	3.19	4.73
	1.63	3.87	5.07
	1.57	3.68	5.2
	1.58	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.93)	3.62 ↑ (3.1)	5.2 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
56.9%

Draw
25.4%

Cayón
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

28.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arandina's performance.

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cayón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arandina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cayón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arandina - Cayón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Arandina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cayón is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Arandina is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.10.23	Langreo - Arandina	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Arandina - Valladolid B	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Arandina	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Arandina - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - Arandina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLL
- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.10.23	Cayón - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Rayo Cantabria - Cayón	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Cayón - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Real Oviedo B - Cayón	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Cayón - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTTLT

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