Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Arandina		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.34	3.09	3.08
	2.33	3.09	3.08
	2.44	2.79	3.19
	2.2	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.44)	3 ↑ (2.95)	3.06 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
39.2%

Draw
30.7%

Marino de Luanco
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

31.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Arandina - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Manzano K. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Diaz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, Varona J. ⚽,

Preview

Arandina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marino de Luanco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arandina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arandina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arandina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.04.24	Rayo Cantabria - Arandina	2:4 ✺
13.04.24	Arandina - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Real Oviedo B - Arandina	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Arandina - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Coruxo - Arandina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.2 WWWTL
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.04.24	Marino de Luanco - Zamora	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Marino de Luanco - Rayo Cantabria	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Marino de Luanco - Real Oviedo B	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Pontevedra - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.12.23	Marino de Luanco - Arandina	3:1

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