Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Leonesa B		Arandina

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.92	2.78
	2.42	3.04	2.81
	2.45	3.06	2.84
	2.45	2.88	2.8
	2.41	2.97	2.77
	2.42	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.3)	3 ↑ (2.85)	2.79 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa B
37.3%

Draw
30.2%

Arandina
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31.9%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

31.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa B than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Leonesa B - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Oviedo A. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Oviedo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 3 - 0, Chaudar K. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa B won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Leonesa B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leonesa B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Leonesa B	5	3	1	1	4:2	2	10
8	Arandina	5	2	2	1	7:6	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonesa B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
01.02.26	Bembibre - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Leonesa B - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	La Virgen del Camino - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Leonesa B - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLLT
- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
31.01.26	Arandina - Mojados	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Almazán - Arandina	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Arandina - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Arandina - Becerril	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Mirandés B - Arandina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
27.09.25	Arandina - Leonesa B	0:1
22.03.25	Arandina - Leonesa B	1:1
03.11.24	Leonesa B - Arandina	2:3
18.02.23	Leonesa B - Arandina	0:1
15.10.22	Arandina - Leonesa B	1:1
30.01.22	Leonesa B - Arandina	1:0
03.11.19	Arandina - Leonesa B	2:1

Leonesa B - Arandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide