Match Info

Date: 22 July 2021, Thursday


	Ararat		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.45
	3	2.95	2.4	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.6
	2.55	2.82	2.79
	2.7	2.8	2.5	Watch
	2.74	3.13	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.24)	2.88 ↓ (3.24)	2.55 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat
32.9%

Draw
31.5%

Śląsk Wrocław
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

18.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Śląsk Wrocław might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ararat than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ararat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Śląsk Wrocław, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.7%	12.8%	59.6%

Ararat - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Ararat will win (votes: 13 - 27.7%). Śląsk will win (votes: 28 - 59.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Śląsk: 45.6% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Recent matches Ararat is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Śląsk is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Śląsk have a series of guest games.

Śląsk will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ararat Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.07.21	Ararat - Videoton	2:0 ✺
08.07.21	Videoton - Ararat	1:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
28.05.21	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	5:2 ✺
25.05.21	Ararat - Alashkert	0:1 ✺
22.05.21	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTWLL
- Śląsk Wrocław
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.07.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Paide LM	2:0 ✺
08.07.21	Paide LM - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.21	Hajduk Split - Śląsk Wrocław	4:0 ✺
29.06.21	Polet Sveti Martin na Muri - Śląsk Wrocław	Canceled ✺
26.06.21	Slaven Belupo - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWL?T

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