Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: FFA Academy Stadium (Yerevan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Greece	18:00	Nova Sports


	Ararat-Armenia		Aris

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.6	3.1	2.15
	3.5	3.1	2.18
	3.33	3.07	2.32
	3.34	3.32	2.18	Watch
	3.35	3.4	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.55)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	2.21 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
28.2%

Draw
29.4%

Aris
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

28.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

27.1%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.4%	7.1%	87.5%

Ararat Armenia - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: Aris will win (49 of 56 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.84% – 96.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Ermakov V. (G) 2. Alemao (C) 3. Bueno J. 41. Cassio Scheid 16. Grigoryan E. 12. Nondi A. 7. Castanheira A. 20. Tera A. 9. Serobyan A. 88. Eza W. 15. Yenne T.	23. Julian (C) 2. M'Bakata S. 4. Fabiano 22. Odubajo M. 13. Matarrita R. 16. Darida V. 30. Jules J. 10. Rupp L. 27. Menendez J. 9. Gray A. 17. Palma L.
Substitutes
10. Ambartsumyan A. 18. Avanesyan A. 36. Ayvazyan M. 24. Beglaryan A. (G) 17. Gbomadu M. 8. Ghazaryan G. 55. Hakobyan H. 14. Leo Silva 1. Manasyan R. (G) 19. Muradyan K. 32. Perez Ochoa C. A. 5. Terteryan D.	94. Choutetsiotis L. (G) 7. Christodoulopoulos L. 20. Djurasek N. 3. Ferrari F. 32. Karlsson D.M. 11. Kike Saverio 80. Moron L. 77. Panagidis M. 24. Pavicic D.
Coaches
Minasyan V.	Terzis A.

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ararat-Armenia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aris is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Ararat-Armenia	4:5 penalties ✺
13.07.23	Ararat-Armenia - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
05.06.23	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:5 ✺
01.06.23	Ararat-Armenia - Lernayin Artsakh	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTL
- Aris Thessaloniki
UEFA Champions League
26.07.23	Aris - BATE Borisov	6:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.23	Aris - Ethnikos Achna	3:1 ✺
18.07.23	Austria Wien - Aris	1:1 ✺
16.07.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Aris	4:0 ✺
14.07.23	Sturm Graz - Aris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Cup
29.10.26	Olympia Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	✺
- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
01.11.26	Levadiakos - Aris	✺
Greek Cup
28.10.26	Panathinaikos - Aris	✺

Ararat-Armenia - Aris