Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday

Location: FFA Academy Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Farrugia Cann T. (Mlt)


	Ararat-Armenia		Egnatia Rrogozhinë

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.16	3	3.7
	2.17	3.01	3.79
	2.13	3.14	3.68	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.8)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	3.65 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
44%

Draw
30.4%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.5%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ararat-Armenia's form might have worsened.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	31.8%	4.5%

Ararat Armenia - Egnatia Rrogozhinë Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ararat-Armenia will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Egnatia will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ararat-Armenia: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Ermakov V. (G) 2. Alemao 3. Bueno J. 41. Cassio Scheid 55. Hakobyan H. 7. Castanheira A. 19. Muradyan K. 10. Ambartsumyan A. (C) 9. Serobyan A. 88. Eza W. 15. Yenne T.	1. Sherri A. (G) 44. Fangaj A. 13. Malota R. 26. Memolla H. (C) 29. Musta E. 17. Zejnulai A. 6. Aleksi A. 11. Fernando Medeiros 82. Kasa R. 9. Paulauskas G. 7. Dwamena R.
Substitutes
18. Avanesyan A. 36. Ayvazyan M. 24. Beglaryan A. (G) 8. Ghazaryan G. 16. Grigoryan E. 1. Manasyan R. (G) 12. Nondi A. 32. Perez Ochoa C. A. 34. Smbatyan E. 20. Tera A. 5. Terteryan D.	28. Ahmetaj A. 12. Dabjani I. (G) 27. Isgandarli V. 5. Janku S. 4. Kacbufi A. 77. Lila B. 23. Mecja F. 8. Mellugja D. 18. Mihana R. 16. Ndreca E.
Coaches
Minasyan V.	Tetova E.

Preview

1st leg.

Ararat-Armenia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ararat-Armenia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
05.06.23	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:5 ✺
01.06.23	Ararat-Armenia - Lernayin Artsakh	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
22.05.23	Ararat-Armenia - Van	4:1 ✺
17.05.23	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTLWW
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albanian Cup
01.06.23	Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1 ET ✺
Albanian Super League
25.05.23	Teuta Durrës - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Erzeni	3:2 ✺
17.05.23	Kastrioti - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
10.05.23	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Vllaznia Shkodër	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLW

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