Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca 2 - Round 8

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday


	Araruama		Audax Rio

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.75	2.5
	2.98	2.7	2.6
	2.98	2.73	2.59	Watch
	2.84	2.85	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.4)	2.76 ↓ (3.25)	2.54 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araruama
31.3%

Draw
32.9%

Audax Rio
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.6%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

26%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araruama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Araruama's form might have worsened.

Audax Rio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araruama than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Araruama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Araruama - Audax Rio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+8', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Audax Rio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araruama FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
29.06.24	Maricá - Araruama	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Araruama - Resende	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	America RJ - Araruama	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Duque de Caxias - Araruama	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Araruama - Serrano FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 LTWTT
- Audax Rio
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.24	Audax Rio - Itabuna	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
03.07.24	Audax Rio - Serrano FC	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.24	Audax Rio - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
26.06.24	Artsul - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
22.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

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