Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	El Álamo		México

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.69
	3.32	3.35	2.06
	3.5	3.49	1.94	Watch
	3.93	3.62	1.76
	4.5	3.5	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (4.48)	3.49 ↓ (3.55)	1.83 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Álamo
23.3%

Draw
26.4%

México
50.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.3%

25.6%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

24.7%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Álamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Álamo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that México could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Álamo - México Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

El Álamo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match México is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches El Álamo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Álamo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.04.25	Parla - El Álamo	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	El Álamo - Villaverde San Andrés	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Las Rozas - El Álamo	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	El Álamo - Canillas	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Alcorcón B - El Álamo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWL
- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.04.25	México - Collado Villalba	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Galapagar - México	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	México - Trival Valderas	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Aravaca - México	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Cala Pozuelo - México	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.12.24	México - El Álamo	2:1

El Álamo - México