Match Info
Premier League - Round 19Date: 6 February 2026, Friday
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 |
|
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Arba Minch |
|
Dire Dawa City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.6 |
3 |
|
 |
2.42 |
2.68 |
3.05 |
|
 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
3.31 |
|
 |
2.38 |
2.5 |
3 |
|
 |
2.55 |
2.81 |
3.12 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.66 |
3.25 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.81) |
2.64 ↓
(2.77) |
3.12 ↑
(2.54) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arba Minch
36.8% | Draw
34.2% | Dire Dawa City
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dire Dawa City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dire Dawa City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Arba Minch - Dire Dawa City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 1 - 0, Iyassu T. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, Negsh A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).Arba Minch has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Dire Dawa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 17.05.25 | Dire Dawa City - Arba Minch | 1:0 | | 29.06.23 | Arba Minch - Dire Dawa City | 0:1 | | 16.02.23 | Dire Dawa City - Arba Minch | 1:3 | | 19.06.22 | Dire Dawa City - Arba Minch | 0:3 | | 11.02.22 | Arba Minch - Dire Dawa City | 0:0 |
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