Match Info

Stars League - Round 5

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Franso Hariri Stadium (Arbil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Arbil		Al-Shorta Baghdad

	1	X	2
	4.85	4.35	1.49
	5.16	4.2	1.5
	6	4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↓ (5.5)	4.18 ↓ (4.5)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arbil
17%

Draw
21.7%

Al-Shorta Baghdad
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

19.9%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Arbil - Al Shorta Baghdad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Temirov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 1.

Al-Shorta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arbil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Shorta is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Arbil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
03.10.25	Arbil - Al-Karma	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Al-Kahraba - Arbil	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Al-Minaa - Arbil	1:3 ✺
15.09.25	Arbil - Najaf	3:2 ✺
04.07.25	Naft Al-Basra - Arbil	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWWL
- Al-Shorta Baghdad
AFC Champions League
20.10.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:4 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
04.10.25	Al-Kahraba - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.09.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:0 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
25.09.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Newroz	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Duhok	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
28.04.25	Arbil - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:2
04.01.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Arbil	4:1
09.11.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Arbil	2:1
25.04.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Arbil	2:1
25.11.22	Arbil - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:0
20.02.22	Arbil - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1
01.10.21	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Arbil	2:2

Upcoming Matches