Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Gayfield Park (Arbroath)

Referee: Stirling C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Arbroath FC TV


	Arbroath		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.20	3.70
	1.85	3.20	3.70
	1.76	3.20	4.40	Watch
	2.02	3.20	4.44
	1.83	3.41	4.43	Watch
	1.98	3.00	4.35
	1.89	3.02	4.06	Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.76)	3.19 ↓ (3.57)	4.13 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arbroath
48.8%

Draw
28.9%

Greenock Morton
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+1%)

Arbroath - Greenock Morton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McAdams A. (G) 6. Beadling T. 20. Constable S. 22. Dewar C. 11. Dow R. 25. MacIntyre J. 26. Mackie S. 14. McKenna M. 17. Reid D. 10. Reilly G. 16. Watson C.	1. Harrison E. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 12. Borso D. 4. Cupps C. 7. Garrity M. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 3. Longridge J. 6. Okike C. 19. Robertson K. 20. Sandilands C. 27. Wilson I.
Substitutes
19. Daly C. 8. Flynn R. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 4. Paterson B. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 9. Winter A.	17. Bashir S. 35. Black D. 47. Cochrane H. 5. Croker P. 52. Fairnie L. 9. Gorman J. 31. Kinnear B. (G) 28. Murphy L. 29. O'Halloran M.
Coaches
Colin J.	Murray I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Constable S. 🟥,
10', 0 - 1, Gillespie G. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Cupps C. 🟥,
31', Robertson K. ↓, Croker P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Dewar C. (Own goal),
52', 1 - 2, MacIntyre J. ⚽, McKenna M. (A),
54', McKenna M. 🟨,
56', Croker P. 🟨,
57', Mackie S. ↓, Paterson B. ↑,
63', Reilly G. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
63', Dewar C. ↓, Daly C. ↑,
69', Borso D. ↓, Bashir S. ↑,
74', Wilson I. 🟨,
88', Sandilands C. ↓, Cochrane H. ↑,
88', Garrity M. ↓, Gorman J. ↑,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 7th and 10th in the Relegation - League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 1.

Arbroath is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Greenock is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Arbroath carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Arbroath has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:20 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arbroath against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Arbroath: 0.8% Morton: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arbroath	10	3	2	5	7:15	-8	11
9	Morton	10	1	1	8	7:18	-11	4

Last Results with these Odds

Greenock Morton - the odds 4.52 are the expected chance of winning is 20.69%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
03.10.26	Partick Thistle - Arbroath	3:0 ✺
25.09.26	Arbroath - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLT
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
03.10.26	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Inverness - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Greenock Morton - Livingston	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
22.08.26	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	1:2
28.03.26	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	2:1
23.01.26	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	1:1
08.11.25	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	1:0
20.09.25	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	1:1
20.04.24	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	1:2
27.01.24	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	3:0

Upcoming Matches