Match Info

Championship - Round 21

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Firhill Stadium (Glasgow)


	Partick Thistle		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5.15	Watch
	1.59	3.99	5.46	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.5
	1.57	3.55	5.53	Watch
	1.6	3.66	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)	3.63 ↓ (3.82)	5.4 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partick Thistle
57.6%

Draw
25.4%

Greenock Morton
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.3%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton Predictions

Users Predictions: Partick Thistle will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Partick Thistle will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Clarke J. (G) 24. McPherson B. 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 20. O'Reilly D. 3. Reading P. 26. Stanway B. 10. Chalmers L. 21. Fitzpatrick A. 64. Letsosa T. 32. Watt T. 9. Samuel A.	1. Storer J. (G) 20. Comrie A. 6. Moore K. 23. Longridge J. (C) 3. Delaney Z. 8. Blues C. 27. Wilson I. 29. O'Halloran M. 24. Lyall A. 18. Garrity M. 10. Brophy E.
Substitutes
1. Budinauckas L. (G) 42. Dolan L. 37. Horn T. 2. Logan C. 4. Martin S. 19. McBeth L. 6. Turner K.	9. Adeloye T. 2. Ballantyne C. 35. Black D. 4. Corr D. 21. Gillespie G. 7. Moffat O. 41. Pellizzer M. 19. Robertson K. 22. Shaw N.
Coaches
Wilson M.	Davies B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', Delaney Z. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Garrity M. ⚽, O'Halloran M. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Brophy E. ⚽, Blues C. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Fitzpatrick A. ↓, Turner K. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Stanway B. ⚽,
58', O'Halloran M. ↓, Moffat O. ↑,
61', Turner K. 🟨,
66', Brophy E. ↓, Shaw N. ↑,
69', Chalmers L. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Lyall A. ↓, Robertson K. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Turner K. ⚽,
88', Wilson I. 🟨,
90+2', O'Reilly D. 🟨,
90+4', Blues C. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Watt T. ⚽,
90+5', Watt T. 🟨,
90+6', Letsosa T. ↓, Martin S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick won 1.

Recent performances by Partick have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Greenock has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Partick has had a series of away games.

In this match, Partick is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partick won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Partick won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Morton: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Partick Thistle	8	4	3	1	8:2	6	15
10	Morton	9	0	1	8	5:17	-12	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
27.12.25	Queens Park - Partick Thistle	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Cove Rangers - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
13.12.25	Arbroath - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Ayr United - Partick Thistle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTWLT
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
27.12.25	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	St. Johnstone - Greenock Morton	5:0 ✺
13.12.25	Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians	0:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	Stirling Albion - Greenock Morton	3:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
05.12.25	Greenock Morton - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
11.10.25	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	1:1
09.08.25	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	1:1
29.03.25	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	0:1
01.02.25	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	2:2
31.12.24	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	2:1
03.08.24	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	0:0
16.03.24	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	2:1

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