The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arbroath 50.8%
Draw 28.3%
Queens Park 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
25.7%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
25.2%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Queens Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Arbroath - Queens Park Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Arbroath (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Queens Park (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arbroath (votes: 1 - 50%). Queens Park (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McAdams A. (G) 12. Stewart S. 16. Watson C. 22. Dewar C. 26. Mackie S. 20. Constable S. 8. Flynn R. (C) 25. MacIntyre J. 24. Molotnikov R. 11. Dow R. 9. Winter A.
30. Wills J. (G) 16. Fisher O. 4. Murray E. (C) 5. Lamie R. 21. McLean R. 11. Connolly A. 8. Martin S. 26. Brannan B. 14. Stewart L. 9. Ruth M. 77. Todorov N.
Substitutes
6. Beadling T. 18. Beattie C. 19. Daly C. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 15. McGill S. 14. McKenna M. 4. Paterson B. 21. Pettigrew J. (G)
19. Edzii D. 18. Goldie C. 25. Lawson Z. 7. Longridge L. 17. McDonnell T. 1. Mitchell D. (G) 12. Pignatiello C. 20. Rodger K.
Coaches
Hamilton C.
Crighton S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Winter A. ⚽, Molotnikov R. (A),
15', Ruth M. 🟨,
26', Flynn R. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Molotnikov R. ⚽, MacIntyre J. (A),
45', Lamie R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Molotnikov R. ↓, McKenna M. ↑,
73', Dow R. ↓, Beadling T. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Fisher O. ⚽,
80', Stewart L. ↓, McDonnell T. ↑,
89', Winter A. ↓, Daly C. ↑,
89', McLean R. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 7th and 9th in the Championship (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 3.
Arbroath has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Queens Park has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Arbroath for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Arbroath has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:35 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arbroath against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 12:17 goals (averaging 1.2:1.7 per game).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now