The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arbroath 29.3%
Draw 29.2%
Partick Thistle 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
28.9%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
28%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arbroath's performance.
Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Partick Thistle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arbroath that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Partick Thistle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arbroath - Partick Thistle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McAdams A. (G) 12. Stewart S. 6. Muirhead A. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 4. Wilkie J. 25. Cochrane H. 8. Flynn R. 15. MacIntyre J. 17. Marshall F. 11. Dow R. 10. Reilly G.
12. Clarke J. (G) 17. Ingram E. 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 22. Loughrey C. 2. Logan C. 14. Crawford R. 11. Mackay-Steven G. 26. Stanway B. 8. Smyth O. 10. Chalmers L. 32. Watt T.
Substitutes
27. Enem V. 18. Gillie L. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 62. Mebude D. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 28. Robinson S. 16. Watson C.
1. Budinauckas L. (G) 18. Diack R. 42. Dolan L. 39. Falconer M. 21. Fitzpatrick A. 44. Gray D. 19. McBeth L. 30. Taylor F. 6. Turner K.
Coaches
Hamilton C.
Wilson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Muirhead A. 🟨,
59', Muirhead A. ↓, Watson C. ↑,
60', Reilly G. ↓, Robinson S. ↑,
60', Stanway B. ↓, Turner K. ↑,
60', Crawford R. ↓, Taylor F. ↑,
60', Mackay-Steven G. ↓, Diack R. ↑,
67', Ashcroft L. ↓, McBeth L. ↑,
83', Dow R. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
84', Marshall F. ↓, Enem V. ↑,
86', Chalmers L. ↓, Falconer M. ↑,
87', Wilkie J. ↓, Gillie L. ↑,
Preview
Arbroath is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)
Partick is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 1.
Arbroath has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Partick is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Partick will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
Watch
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McAdams A. (G) 
Clarke J. (G) 
Ingram E. 
Loughrey C. 
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