Match Info
Premiership - Relegation - Quarter-finalsDate: 5 May 2026, TuesdayLocation: East End Park (Dunfermline)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Scotland | BBC Scotland |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport |
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Dunfermline Athletic |
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Arbroath |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dunfermline Athletic
44.4% | Draw
29.8% | Arbroath
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+3.5%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dunfermline will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Arbroath will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunfermline: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
13.  Oxborough A. (G)
2.  Chilokoa-Mullen J. (C)
18.  Abdulai N.
3.  Ngwenya K.
10. Todd M.
8. Gilmour C.
14.  Amade A.
47. Fraser R.
38. Morrison C.
20. Kane Ch.
26. Tod A.
| 1. McAdams A. (G)
12. Stewart S.
16. Watson C.
5. O'Brien T. (C)
4. Wilkie J.
25. Cochrane H.
8. Flynn R.
15. MacIntyre J.
17. Marshall F.
11. Dow R.
10. Reilly G.
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| Substitutes |
4. Benedictus K.
22. Bray K.
33. Cooper J.
34. Fyfe L.
5. Hamilton C.
11.  Kearney S.
35. Oakley-Boothe T.
40. Terrell B. (G)
31. Tod J.
| 26.  Beadling T.
27. Enem V.
7. Gold D.
3. Hamilton C.
62. Mebude D.
6. Muirhead A.
21. Pettigrew J. (G)
28. Robinson S.
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| Coaches |
Lennon N.
| Hamilton C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Kane Ch. ⚽, Tod A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Flynn R. 🟨,
- 66', Dow R. 🟨,
- 67', Amade A. 🟨,
- 71', O'Brien T. 🟨,
- 72', Dow R. ↓, Robinson S. ↑,
- 80', Fraser R. 🟨,
- 81', Morrison C. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
- 82', Amade A. ↓, Tod J. ↑,
- 88', Kane Ch. ↓, Oakley-Boothe T. ↑,
Preview
First leg. Dunfermline is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals) Arbroath is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Arbroath may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Dunfermline could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:29. (average 1.7:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
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Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
Dunfermline: 11.49% Arbroath: 3.01%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Arbroath | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
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| 6 | Dunfermline | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Arbroath - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.36%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Scottish Football Championship | | | 01.05.26 | Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath | 0:0 | | 21.02.26 | Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic | 4:2 | | 06.12.25 | Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath | 1:2 | | 13.09.25 | Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic | 0:5 | | 30.03.24 | Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic | 2:3 | | 17.02.24 | Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath | 1:1 | | 23.12.23 | Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic | 1:1 |
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