Match Info

efbet League - Round 12

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday ⏱️ In 7h 27m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Arena Arda (Kardzhali) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Piskov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	18:30	SportKlub 4


	Arda Kardzhali		Levski Sofia

	1	X	2
	6.50	3.40	1.56	Watch
	5.00	3.40	1.68
	5.20	3.50	1.70
	5.82	3.45	1.71
	5.1	3.45	1.72	Watch
	5.55	3.35	1.66
	5.14	3.34	1.71
	5.20	3.35	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (5)	3.41 ↑ (3.37)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arda Kardzhali
17.1%

Draw
27.3%

Levski Sofia
55.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.6%

27.6%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

27.1%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Levski Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Levski will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levski: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Levski Sofia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th in the Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 0.

Arda is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Levski shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Arda could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Levski has had a run of games away from home.

Bookmakers give the edge to Levski for this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Arda has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:29 (averaging 0.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arda against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 3:14 goals (averaging 0.4:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Levski Sofia	10	9	1	0	23:4	19	28
6	Arda	11	5	2	4	15:17	-2	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
12.10.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.09.26	Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	CSKA Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	4:1 ✺
04.09.26	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Levski Sofia
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Levski Sofia	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
18.10.26	Spartak Pleven - Levski Sofia	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	NEC Nijmegen - Levski Sofia	1:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
11.10.26	Cherno More Varna - Levski Sofia	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Levski Sofia - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.04.26	Levski Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	1:0
02.11.25	Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia	0:3
14.05.25	Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia	0:3
26.04.25	Levski Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	1:1
16.03.25	Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia	1:1
29.09.24	Levski Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	2:1
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Levski Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	0:0

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