Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

Referee: Al-Emara M. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Levski Sofia		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.05
	3.25	3.70	2.10
	3.5	3.55	2.1
	3.56	3.69	2.1
	3.39	3.63	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.6	2.06
	3.76	3.63	2
	3.35	3.75	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.88)	3.64 ↑ (3.57)	2.08 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levski Sofia
27.6%

Draw
26.3%

Red Bull Salzburg
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

26.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

26.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Levski Sofia's form might have worsened.

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levski Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	13%	69.6%

Levski Sofia - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Levski will win (votes: 8 - 17.8%). Salzburg will win (votes: 32 - 71.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 57.9% – 84.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Salzburg (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Salzburg (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Levski (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Salzburg (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. (C) 4. Makoun C. 3. Maicon 35. Serginho 18. Trdin G. 17. Everton Bala 11. Oko-Flex A. 20. Centelles A. 7. Reinaldo	52. Zawieschitzky C. (G) 18. Veratschnig N. (C) 44. Boma K. 21. Drexler T. 31. Schmid D. 32. Barry A. 15. Mazurek B. 20. Baidoo E. 8. Kitano S. 11. Vertessen Y. 9. Tabakovic H.
Substitutes
8. Grujic M. 2. Hevertton S. 27. Kusso D. 78. Lukov M. (G) 10. Mitkov A. 9. Perea J. 22. Soula M. 28. Stoyanchov S. 1. Vladimirov O. (G)	43. Aguilar E. 33. Camara A. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 19. Konate K. 13. Kratzig F. 22. Lainer S. 35. Lindstrom J. 4. Mellberg J. 39. Morgalla L. 23. Redzic D. 41. Sarcevic N. (G) 7. Tohumcu U.
Coaches
Velazquez J.	Rohl D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Tabakovic H. ⚽,
41', Kitano S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Centelles A. 🟨,
56', Tabakovic H. 🟨,
58', Centelles A. ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
60', Mazurek B. 🟨,
63', Kitano S. ↓, Redzic D. ↑,
65', Vertessen Y. 🟨,
69', Vertessen Y. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
76', Reinaldo ↓, Perea J. ↑,
77', Oko-Flex A. ↓, Soula M. ↑,
88', Everton Bala ↓, Stoyanchov S. ↑,
88', Makoun C. ↓, Mitkov A. ↑,
89', Baidoo E. ↓, Kratzig F. ↑,
90+3', Barry A. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - National Stadium Vasil Levski.

Levski is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Salzburg is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Levski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Salzburg might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Levski: Bouras A. (Muscle Injury) Kirilov R. (Knee Injury) Sangare M. (Off the roster)

There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A. (Off the roster) Diabate S. (Injury) Diakite G. (Inactive) Matijasevic F. (Off the roster) Moser J. (Muscle Injury) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Levski: Grujic M. (Illness) Kamdem O. (Knee Injury) Moubarik M. (Injury) Serafimov N. (Elbow Injury)

There are questionable in Salzburg: Fruchtl C. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Salzburg: 1.23% Levski Sofia: 0.24%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.42%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levski Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.09.26	Botev Vratsa - Levski Sofia	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Super Cup
09.09.26	Levski Sofia - CSKA Sofia	2:4 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
05.09.26	Levski Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Slavia Sofia - Levski Sofia	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Botev Plovdiv - Levski Sofia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWWW
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
11.09.26	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
06.09.26	St. Pölten - Red Bull Salzburg	0:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	5:1 ✺
30.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Wien	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Mjällby	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWWW

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