Match Info

Date: 4 September 2020, Friday


	Arda Kardzhali		Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	4.5
	1.5	4.5	4.5
	1.5	4.1	4.75
	1.5	4	4.6
	1.5	4.16	4.66
	1.5	4	5
	1.56	4.2	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.21 ↑ (4.09)	4.71 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arda Kardzhali
59.6%

Draw
21.4%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

17.8%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Recent matches Arda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gorna Oryahovitsa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Arda is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Arda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.08.20	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	3:2 ✺
24.08.20	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	0:2 ✺
15.08.20	Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia	1:1 ✺
08.08.20	Montana - Arda Kardzhali	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.20	Arda Kardzhali - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWTTL
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.08.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Lovech	0:0 ✺
23.08.20	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:0 ✺
19.08.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Minyor Pernik	1:2 ✺
15.08.20	Lokomotiv Sofia - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:0 ✺
08.08.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Neftochimic Burgas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.03.19	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Arda Kardzhali	2:0
Club Friendly
13.10.18	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0:1
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.09.18	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	3:0

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