The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arda Kardzhali 77.7%
Draw 16.1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
30.1%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
31.9%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arda Kardzhali's performance.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-30.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arda Kardzhali that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+17.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Plovdiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
0%
10%
Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
EH -1 - Arda (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -2 - Arda (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Arda Kardzhali will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arda (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gospodinov A. (C) 21. Velev V. 93. Eboa F. 6. Krachunov P. 35. Velkovski D. 18. Huseynov C. 80. Kotev L. 8. Kabov A. 39. Vutov A. 11. Shinyashiki A. 30. Samake W.
40. Zovko P. (G) 11. Dinev Z. 44. Kostov K. 4. Palazov R. 16. Kirashki D. 21. Gochev S. 3. Trdan M. 99. Lamy J. 14. Iliev D. (C) 10. Francisco Politino 19. Vangelov M.
Substitutes
26. Akandzha B. 4. Idowu D. 99. Karagaren B. 10. Kovachev S. 24. Paskalev M. 23. Viyachki E. 20. Yusein S. 92. Yusuf M. (G)
33. Atanasov M. 29. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 1. Georgiev S. (G) 94. Itu C. 13. Lucas Ryan 5. Pavlov T. 23. Ruskov M. 9. Velev A.
Coaches
Tunchev A.
Kosic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Vutov A. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Vutov A. ⚽, Velkovski D. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Vutov A. ⚽,
34', Kabov A. ↓, Karagaren B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Eboa F. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
46', Velkovski D. ↓, Paskalev M. ↑,
48', Huseynov C. 🟨,
52', 4 - 0, Huseynov C. ⚽, Vutov A. (A),
57', Francisco Politino ↓, Velev A. ↑,
57', Iliev D. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski G. B. ↑,
62', Paskalev M. 🟨,
62', Vutov A. ↓, Kovachev S. ↑,
70', Trdan M. ↓, Longville C. ↑,
71', Vangelov M. ↓, Bozhinov V. ↑,
72', Shinyashiki A. ↓, Akandzha B. ↑,
79', Kostov K. ↓, Vitanov S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Arda is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arda won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.4:1.9).
Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now
Arda: 1.24% Lok. Plovdiv: 0.16%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Arda
10
5
2
3
15:12
3
17
12
Lok. Plovdiv
10
2
1
7
5:13
-8
7
Last Results with these Odds
Arda Kardzhali - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.55%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Bulgaria
Croatia
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Gospodinov A. (C) 
Velev V. 
Eboa F. 
Huseynov C. 
Shinyashiki A. 
Samake W. 
Zovko P. (G) 
Gochev S. 
Trdan M. 
Lamy J. 
Francisco Politino 
Idowu D. 
Itu C. 
