The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cherno More Varna 46.2%
Draw 28.2%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 25.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42%
29.7%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
31.4%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
70. Manasiev A. (G) 8. Donchev A. 3. Atanasov Z. 93. Ventsislavov G. 26. Joao Bandaro 71. Panayotov V. 29. Beyhan B. 7. Barandas M. 11. Achi M. 17. Tasev I. 9. Padilla J.
40. Zovko P. (G) 2. Cova A. 94. Matheus Brito 44. Petrovic M. 13. Lucas Ryan 22. Ivanov I. 6. Trdan M. 3. Ali D. 39. Umarbaev P. 11. Leijten R. 19. Burban J.
Substitutes
23. Banev M. 99. Bounaas I. 37. Kerchev V. 22. Kostadinov N. 44. Lumbu N. 34. Mihaylov K. 10. Sidney C. 5. Squadrone L. 24. Teles D. 50. Tombak E. 81. Tomov K. (G)
4. Chindris A. 17. Fase A. 10. Iliev Y. 99. Lamy J. 29. Longville C. 1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 31. Mrankov D. 5. Pavlov T. 9. Velev A.
Coaches
Iliev I.
Kosic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ali D. ⚽, Cova A. (A),
36', Ventsislavov G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tasev I. ↓, Tombak E. ↑,
64', Joao Bandaro ↓, Sidney C. ↑,
64', Beyhan B. ↓, Bounaas I. ↑,
74', Donchev A. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Lucas Ryan ↓, Pavlov T. ↑,
74', Burban J. ↓, Longville C. ↑,
74', Ali D. ↓, Fase A. ↑,
75', Umarbaev P. ↓, Iliev Y. ↑,
81', Barandas M. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
81', Ventsislavov G. ↓, Squadrone L. ↑,
87', Matheus Brito ↓, Chindris A. ↑,
89', Tombak E. 🟨,
90+3', Bounaas I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cherno More holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cherno More has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:21 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cherno More against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).