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Current Win Probability
Cherno More Varna 46.7%
Draw 29.8%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
29.6%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
29.5%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
20%
13.3%
Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cherno More: 42.8% โ 90.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Cherno More (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
81. Tomov K. (G) 28. Drobarov V. 3. Atanasov Z. 26. Joao Bandaro 50. Tombak E. 71. Panayotov V. (C) 29. Beyhan B. 10. Chandarov A. 13. Nyagolov E. 8. Donchev A. 19. Lazarov G.
1. Milosavljevic B. (C) 33. Atanasov M. 4. Chindris A. 13. Lucas Ryan 5. Pavlov T. 22. Ivanov I. 12. Ali E. 7. Idriz S. 29. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 99. Lamy J. 77. Zwarts J.
Substitutes
16. Calcan A. 22. Kostadinov N. 70. Manasiev A. (G) 34. Mihaylov K. 41. Paskov G. 4. Stefanov R. 24. Teles D. 93. Ventsislavov G. 39. Zlatev N.
11. Dinev Z. 10. Francisco Politino 14. Iliev D. 16. Kirashki D. 44. Kostov K. 19. Longville C. 3. Trdan M. 9. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
Coaches
Iliev I.
Kosic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Atanasov M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Chandarov A. ⚽,
42', Ivanov I. 🟨,
42', Chandarov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Beyhan B. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
54', Panayotov V. ↓, Calcan A. ↑,
61', Calcan A. 🟨,
62', Chorbadzhiyski G. B. ↓, Iliev D. ↑,
62', Lamy J. ↓, Francisco Politino ↑,
62', Atanasov M. ↓, Trdan M. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Donchev A. ⚽,
72', Lazarov G. 🟨,
76', Idriz S. ↓, Longville C. ↑,
76', Nyagolov E. ↓, Zlatev N. ↑,
80', Ali E. ↓, Velev A. ↑,
85', Ivanov I. 🟨,
89', Drobarov V. ↓, Stefanov R. ↑,
89', Chandarov A. ↓, Kostadinov N. ↑,
90', Chindris A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 2.
Cherno More has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Cherno More may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Cherno More is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
Bulgaria
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Tomov K. (G) 
Drobarov V. 
Joao Bandaro 
Milosavljevic B. (C) 
Chindris A. 
Lamy J. 
Zwarts J. 
Teles D. 
Francisco Politino 
Longville C. 
Trdan M. 
Zovko P. (G) 
