Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Ardoi		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.6	3.2	1.9
	3.3	3.2	2.02
	3.27	3.62	2.07
	3.38	3.42	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.96)	3.31 ↑ (3.25)	2 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ardoi
26.9%

Draw
27.6%

UD Logroñés Promesas
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.8%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

20.7%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ardoi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

UD Logroñés Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ardoi - UD Logroñés Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Ardoi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

UD Logroñés Promesas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UD Logroñés Promesas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.10.21	Gernika - Ardoi	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	Ardoi - Osasuna B	1:4 ✺
17.10.21	Sestao - Ardoi	4:0 ✺
09.10.21	Ardoi - Racing Santander B	0:3 ✺
03.10.21	Cayón - Ardoi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.10.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Racing Rioja	0:0 ✺
23.10.21	Burgos Promesas - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:3 ✺
16.10.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	San Juan - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:2 ✺
03.10.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Real Sociedad C	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTWT

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