Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	Gernika		Ardoi

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.66	3.2	5
	1.57	3.6	5.2
	1.56	3.95	5.92
	1.59	3.74	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	3.58 ↑ (3.37)	5.5 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
57.8%

Draw
25.6%

Ardoi
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.9%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.8%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Ardoi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gernika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Gernika - Ardoi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gernika is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ardoi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ardoi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gernika is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.10.21	Racing Rioja - Gernika	4:3 ✺
16.10.21	Gernika - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:0 ✺
03.10.21	Gernika - San Juan	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Real Sociedad C - Gernika	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTTW
- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.10.21	Ardoi - Osasuna B	1:4 ✺
17.10.21	Sestao - Ardoi	4:0 ✺
09.10.21	Ardoi - Racing Santander B	0:3 ✺
03.10.21	Cayón - Ardoi	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Ardoi - Peña Sport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT

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