Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 33

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Ards		Ballyclare Comrades

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	4
	1.68	3.85	4.5
	1.69	3.9	4.59	Watch
	1.69	3.98	4.4
	1.68	3.85	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)	3.92 ↓ (4)	4.4 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
55.4%

Draw
23.6%

Ballyclare Comrades
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.3%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ballyclare Comrades has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ards, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballyclare Comrades than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Ards - Ballyclare Comrades Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, Hunter R. ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, Scannell E. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, Scannell E. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, Withers J. ⚽,

Preview

Ards is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )

Ballyclare is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ards won 0.

Ards in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ballyclare is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ards could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ards is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ards to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ards won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 33:36 (average 2.1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ards won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:11 (average 2.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
18.03.25	Institute FC - Ards	2:3 ✺
15.03.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ards	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ards - Annagh United	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.25	Ards - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
22.02.25	Ards - Newington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWWT
- Ballyclare Comrades
Northern Irish Championship
14.03.25	Ballyclare Comrades - Limavady United	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Newington - Ballyclare Comrades	3:1 ✺
28.02.25	Ballyclare Comrades - Dundela	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ballinamallard United - Ballyclare Comrades	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Annagh United - Ballyclare Comrades	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
09.11.24	Ards - Ballyclare Comrades	1:3
14.09.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	3:2
16.04.24	Ards - Ballyclare Comrades	1:2
28.11.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	3:0
28.10.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	6:3
22.04.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	5:1
14.02.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	3:2

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