Match Info

Super League - Round 32

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Arema		PSM Makassar

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.65
	2.2	3.25	2.82	Watch
	2.43	3.5	2.93
	2.36	3.39	2.85	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.31	3.25	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.27)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	2.82 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
39.7%

Draw
27.8%

PSM Makassar
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

30.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

PSM Makassar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Arema - PSM Makassar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 2. Fahmi R. 6. Guevara J. 66. Yama H. 87. Farisi A. (C) 8. Fikri A. 28. Betinho 25. Matheus Blade 7. Gabriel Silva 9. Joel Vinicius 94. Dalberto	97. Hilmansyah (G) 71. Hidayat M. 94. Lagator D. 4. Fernandes Y. (C) 8. Savio Roberto 2. Aloisio Neto 7. Dethan V. 48. Arfan M. 45. Tanjung A. 24. Pratama R. 9. Alex Tanque
Substitutes
13. Balinsa S. G. 4. Guntara L. 77. Gustavo Franca 14. Hariono J. 96. Iksan M. 17. Mardiyanto D. 18. Pandenuwu G. (G) 41. Santoso D. 72. Setiawan B. 27. Setiawan D. 11. Tuharea S. 5. Walisson Maia	29. Aditia F. 19. Amrullah K. 30. Arya R. (G) 17. Bakri R. 6. Fandi R. 13. Lasinari S. 98. Medina Themopole J. 18. Pagamo G. 15. Pratama R. 88. Raehan A. 81. Rahaman A. 10. Sakai D.
Coaches
Marquinhos S.	Amiruddin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Dalberto (Penalty Awarded),
16', Dethan V. 🟨,
27', Guevara J. 🟨,
39', Fikri A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Arfan M. ↓, Raehan A. ↑,
46', Fikri A. ↓, Hariono J. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Gabriel Silva ⚽, Dalberto (A),
64', Matheus Blade ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
64', Alex Tanque ↓, Medina Themopole J. ↑,
64', Tanjung A. ↓, Bakri R. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Joel Vinicius ⚽, Dalberto (A),
74', Guevara J. ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
76', Dethan V. ↓, Rahaman A. ↑,
83', Pratama R. ↓, Aditia F. ↑,
85', Walisson Maia 🟨,
89', Gabriel Silva ↓, Santoso D. ↑,
89', Yama H. ↓, Balinsa S. G. ↑,
90+5', Balinsa S. G. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arema won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arema could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arema won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Arema won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arema FC	4	1	3	0	10:6	4	6
12	PSM Makassar	3	0	2	1	6:8	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
03.05.26	Persik Kediri - Arema	3:2 ✺
28.04.26	Arema - Persebaya Surabaya	0:4 ✺
24.04.26	Persib Bandung - Arema	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Arema - Persis Solo	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Persita Tangerang - Arema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LLTWW
- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
04.05.26	PSM Makassar - Bhayangkara	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Bali United Pusam - PSM Makassar	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	PSM Makassar - Persik Kediri	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	PSM Makassar - Borneo Samarinda	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	PSIM Yogyakarta - PSM Makassar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
19.10.25	PSM Makassar - Arema	1:2
10.02.25	Arema - PSM Makassar	1:1
15.09.24	PSM Makassar - Arema	0:1
25.04.24	Arema - PSM Makassar	3:2
20.10.23	PSM Makassar - Arema	3:0
04.02.23	Arema - PSM Makassar	0:1
20.08.22	PSM Makassar - Arema	1:0

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