Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Arenas Armilla		Marbellí

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.98	3.45
	2.11	3.03	3.56
	2.09	3.07	3.52
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	2.12	3.1	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.95)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.53 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Armilla
43.6%

Draw
30.5%

Marbellí
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

28.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Arenas Armilla - Marbellí Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arenas Armilla (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Aguilar Rosello P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 🟥,
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arenas Armilla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Marbelli	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
3	Arenas Armilla	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.03.26	Mancha Real - Arenas Armilla	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Motril - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Arenas Armilla - Churriana de la Vega	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Arenas Armilla - Atlético Porcuna	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Torre Del Mar - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWLT
- FC Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.03.26	Marbellí - Churriana de la Vega	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Torreperogil - Marbellí	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Marbellí - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Marbellí - El Palo	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	UD San Pedro - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
26.10.25	Marbellí - Arenas Armilla	1:0
22.12.24	Arenas Armilla - Marbellí	1:0

Arenas Armilla - Marbellí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide