Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Sestao

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.85	2
	3.85	2.88	2.04
	4.18	2.91	2.02
	4.05	2.89	2.03
	3.65	2.9	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.32)	2.89 ↑ (2.7)	2.03 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
23.6%

Draw
31.6%

Sestao
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

33.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

33.2%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arenas Club de Getxo - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arenas Club won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sestao will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Arenas Club won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Arenas Club won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.02.23	Real Sociedad C - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Racing Rioja	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Arnedo - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Brea	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Cirbonero	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTWL
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.02.23	Sestao - UD Logroñés Promesas	6:0 ✺
05.02.23	Alfaro - Sestao	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Sestao - Utebo	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Tarazona - Sestao	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Izarra - Sestao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.10.22	Sestao - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:1
13.02.22	Sestao - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:2
26.09.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Sestao	1:1
Club Friendly
14.08.18	Sestao - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.02.17	Arenas Club de Getxo - Sestao	0:0
09.10.16	Sestao - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2
26.03.16	Arenas Club de Getxo - Sestao	3:3

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