Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Norac stadion (Arendal)


	Arendal		Eik-Tønsberg

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	4.33
	1.54	4.34	5.15
				Watch
	1.5	4.15	5.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.02)	4.2 ↑ (3.9)	4.9 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
59.5%

Draw
21.8%

Eik-Tønsberg
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

23.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

23.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arendal's performance.

Eik-Tønsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eik-Tønsberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arendal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eik-Tønsberg than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eik-Tønsberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arendal - Eik Tønsberg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arendal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Arendal will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedplass A. (G) 16. Helgesen E. 19. Ibishi D. 21. Lovseth R. 9. Myrbakk J. 4. Opsahl A. 20. Osterud A. 8. Ramsland M. 17. Suggelia H. 5. Sundo B. 14. Trengereid M.	1. Bugge C. (G) 6. Danielsen H. 10. dos Santos Jonker D. 18. Gojani E. 2. Kongerud T. 7. Muhle E. 5. Nilsen N. 11. Nygaard A. 19. Sannes J. 24. Takvam L. 25. Wenneberg M.
Substitutes
2. Hultqvist D. 42. Hurvenes M. 7. Johansen J. 18. Nygaard S. 13. Strindholm D. (G) 44. Zemichael E.	16. Andersen B. 12. Hansen C. 15. Holseter-Karlsen S. 22. Johnsen E. 17. Knutsson J. (G) 23. Larsen A. 3. Roberg V. S. . Ronning D. 13. Schmidt Godo W. 14. Torp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Osterud A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Takvam L. ⚽,
54', Osterud A. 🟨,
59', Nygaard A. 🟨,
60', dos Santos Jonker D. 🟨,
68', Helgesen E. ↓, Nygaard S. ↑,
72', Nygaard A. ↓, Andersen B. ↑,
77', Osterud A. ↓, Johansen J. ↑,
78', dos Santos Jonker D. ↓, Johnsen E. ↑,
78', Takvam L. ↓, Larsen A. ↑,
84', Myrbakk J. ↓, Hultqvist D. ↑,
90+7', Muhle E. ↓, Roberg V. S. ↑,
90+7', Larsen A. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 7)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Arendal is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Arendal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.06.25	Vard Haugesund - Arendal	2:4 ✺
15.06.25	Lysekloster - Arendal	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Arendal - Brattvåg	3:3 ✺
01.06.25	Sandviken - Arendal	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Arendal - Brann 2	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTTW
- Eik-Tønsberg
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.06.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Lysekloster	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Jerv - Eik-Tønsberg	4:1 ✺
09.06.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Træff	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Brann 2 - Eik-Tønsberg	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Pors	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.10.24	Arendal - Eik-Tønsberg	1:2
22.06.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Arendal	1:1

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