Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Arenteiro		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.1	4.75
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.8	3.2	4.75
	1.77	3.16	5.05
	1.74	3.17	5.05	Watch
	1.78	3.18	4.87
	1.8	3.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.94)	3.16 ↑ (2.97)	4.75 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
51.6%

Draw
29%

Gimnástica Segoviana
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

30.8%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

32.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Arenteiro - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 4. Moreno J. 19. Aguado T. 2. lano Imbene 8. Solar M. 6. Prendes M. 11. Gomez D. 10. Marquitos 7. Ferreiro D. 21. Baselga M.	1. Carmona P. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 4. Lopez D. 18. Gabriel Palmero 23. Ferreiroa F. 6. Olmedilla M. (C) 7. Berlanga M. 11. Astray P. 20. Tellechea I. 19. Davo
Substitutes
20. Berardozzi T. 14. Cruz A. 23. Dias J. 27. Figueroa M. (G) 3. Munoz I. 17. Pascu 16. Rivelott Curro 18. Rodriguez E. 5. Rodriguez T.	10. Borrego J. 22. De La Mata J. 9. Gomez D. 29. Ibanes R. 26. Marcos H. 44. Oliva H. (G) 30. Pichu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Baselga M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Juan Silva 🟨,
67', Marquitos ↓, Rivelott Curro ↑,
67', Gabriel Palmero ↓, Borrego J. ↑,
67', Olmedilla M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
73', Baselga M. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
75', Ferreiroa F. ↓, Ibanes R. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
83', Juan Silva ↓, Marcos H. ↑,
83', Astray P. ↓, Pichu ↑,
85', Ferreiro D. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
85', Solar M. ↓, Pascu ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gimnástica Segoviana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arenteiro is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arenteiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arenteiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.09.24	Ponferradina - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Celta de Vigo B - Arenteiro	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Arenteiro - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Tarazona - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTLL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.09.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Ourense CF - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Barakaldo - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Amorebieta - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.04.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Arenteiro	1:0
28.11.21	Arenteiro - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1

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