Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Barakaldo		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.75
	1.57	3.7	4.75
	1.62	3.75	5
	1.62	3.86	5.24
	1.6	3.78	5.08	Watch
	1.62	3.74	5.17
	1.62	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.86)	3.75 ↑ (3.4)	5 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
57.2%

Draw
24.5%

Gimnástica Segoviana
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.7%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barakaldo's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barakaldo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Barakaldo - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Perez U. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 3. Garcia B. 12. Artetxe M. 16. Lopez O. 8. Huidobro J. 5. Molina E. 17. Vicandi A. 21. Uriarte K. 18. Santiago P. 9. Sannadi M.	1. Carmona P. (G) 17. Chupo 3. Molina S. 5. Pascual A. 10. Borrego J. 22. De La Mata J. 23. Ferreiroa F. 7. Berlanga M. 6. Olmedilla M. 11. Astray P. 19. Davo
Substitutes
22. Bujan U. 2. de Jesus B. 19. Isuskiza V. 4. Jelbat A. 20. Martinez J. 15. Muguruza A. 6. Naveira U. 11. Revilla A. 1. Tena J. (G) 10. Torre I. 14. Txoperena U.	25. Changyi L. (G) 8. Diaz H. 18. Gabriel Palmero 14. Llorente F. 4. Lopez D. 26. Marcos H. 44. Oliva H. (G) 16. Sanz R. 20. Tellechea I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Sannadi M. ⚽,
42', Olmedilla M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Molina S. 🟨,
62', 🟨,
62', Borrego J. ↓, Llorente F. ↑,
63', Astray P. ↓, Tellechea I. ↑,
67', Vicandi A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
67', Uriarte K. ↓, Bujan U. ↑,
72', Olmedilla M. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
72', Berlanga M. ↓, Marcos H. ↑,
74', 🟨,
75', Huidobro J. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
78', Chupo ↓, Gabriel Palmero ↑,
84', Lopez O. ↓, Torre I. ↑,
84', Sannadi M. ↓, Revilla A. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Barakaldo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnástica Segoviana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnástica Segoviana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Club Friendly
04.09.24	Zalla - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.08.24	Barakaldo - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Celta de Vigo B - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Barakaldo - Real Avilés	1:4 ✺
14.08.24	Real Unión de Irun - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLTLW
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.09.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Amorebieta - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLLL

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