Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 2

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.38
	2.95	2.75	2.35
	3	2.95	2.45
	3.05	2.85	2.45	Watch
	3.07	2.88	2.47
	3	2.95	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.64)	2.88 ↓ (2.93)	2.43 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
30.5%

Draw
31.8%

Ponferradina
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

32.7%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástica Segoviana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carmona P. (G) 26. Marcos H. 5. Pascual A. 3. Molina S. 17. Chupo 10. Borrego J. 8. Diaz H. 14. Llorente F. 22. De La Mata J. 20. Tellechea I. 19. Davo	1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 3. Novoa G. 5. Lancho J. 18. Ramon A. 11. Mula A. 16. Lozano M. 8. Abelenda B. 22. Esquerdo V. 7. Gomez E. 21. Cortes J.
Substitutes
11. Astray P. 7. Berlanga M. 25. Changyi L. (G) 23. Ferreiroa F. 18. Gabriel Palmero 29. Ibanes R. 4. Lopez D. 44. Oliva H. (G) 6. Olmedilla M. 28. San G. 16. Sanz R.	2. Andujar D. 15. Bustos A. 9. Cabanzon Y. 20. Costa A. 24. Doue M. 6. Fernandez B. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 12. Jurgens O. 19. Lopez A. 4. Sibille K. 10. Valle B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Lozano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Borrego J. ↓, Berlanga M. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Davo ⚽, De La Mata J. (A),
53', 🟨,
55', Lozano M. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽,
63', Tellechea I. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Ramon A. ⚽,
72', Diaz H. ↓, Ferreiroa F. ↑,
72', Marcos H. ↓, Olmedilla M. ↑,
73', Gomez E. ↓, Valle B. ↑,
73', Mula A. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
82', Tellechea I. ↓, Astray P. ↑,
84', Abelenda B. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
84', Cortes J. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Molina S. ⚽,

Preview

Gimnástica Segoviana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponferradina is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ponferradina have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gimnástica Segoviana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnástica Segoviana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.08.24	Amorebieta - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Alcorcón	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLLL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.08.24	Ponferradina - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.24	Bembibre - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Mosconia - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
06.08.24	Arenteiro - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
03.08.24	Ourense CF - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.03.18	Ponferradina - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:0
01.11.17	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ponferradina	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.09.17	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ponferradina	0:1

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