Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Zamora		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3.1	3.45
	2.11	3.15	3.5
	2.11	3.18	3.54	Watch
	2.06	2.95	3.35
	2.06	3.02	3.45
	2.02	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.26)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	3.42 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
44%

Draw
29.4%

Lugo
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Zamora - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Piedra I. (G) 14. Moreno D. 5. Gorjon A. 3. Luengo Herrera L. M. 23. Verges E. 10. Ramos C. (C) 18. Indias I. 17. Urzain F. 15. Costa M. 20. Yurrieta Incera I. 9. Losada M.	25. Embadje F. (G) 19. Lucero R. 4. Garriz I. 5. Moreno P. 3. Haro P. 20. Ulloa A. 15. Parrilla P. 16. Palma A. 14. Gallar A. (C) 17. Chiqui 11. Dauda M.
Substitutes
13. Arbol F. (G) 7. Carbonell J. 22. Fernandez Perez D. 24. Gomez E. 21. Hidalgo A. 8. Juanje 19. Mascaro P. 16. Navarro I. 11. Sancho J.	21. Berzal G. 9. Costa A. 10. Godoy A. 18. Hermoso K. 1. Martinez M. (G) 99. Morchiladze T. 22. Munoz M. 23. Pascual H. 8. Perera A. 24. Perez S. 6. Presa K. 2. Sanchez Martinez A. N.
Coaches
Cano O.	Borja Fernandez

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Palma A. ⚽, Haro P. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Gallar A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Losada M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Urzain F. ↓, Mascaro P. ↑,
46', Moreno D. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
59', Costa M. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
59', Verges E. ↓, Hidalgo A. ↑,
60', Parrilla P. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
67', Haro P. 🟨,
70', Chiqui ↓, Berzal G. ↑,
70', Gallar A. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
75', Yurrieta Incera I. 🟨,
75', Lucero R. 🟨,
76', Dauda M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
77', Ulloa A. ↓, Hermoso K. ↑,
79', Hermoso K. 🟨,
79', Yurrieta Incera I. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Ramos C. ⚽,

Preview

Lugo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Zamora may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Zamora is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Zamora has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zamora against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lugo	6	5	1	0	9:3	6	16
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Lugo - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 29.12%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zamora	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Zamora - UD Logroñés	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Zamora	0:0 ✺
Primera RFEF Promotion Play
19.06.26	Sabadell - Zamora	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTTL
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.09.26	Lugo - Coria	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Lugo - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Bergantiños - Lugo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.26	Lugo - Zamora	1:3
14.09.25	Zamora - Lugo	1:0
17.05.25	Lugo - Zamora	2:0
22.11.24	Zamora - Lugo	2:0

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