Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 15

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Citta di Arezzo (Arezzo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251


	Arezzo		Pescara

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.45	3.15	2.8
	2.42	3.11	2.9
	2.46	3.13	2.94	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.7
	2.38	3.08	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (3.05)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.8 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
37.9%

Draw
29.4%

Pescara
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.8%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

28%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arezzo's performance.

Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pescara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arezzo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pescara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arezzo - Pescara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trombini L. (G) 2. Montini A. 19. Chiosa M. 17. Lazzarini M. 27. Coccia L. 6. Renzi A. 16. Eklu S. M. 7. Guccione F. 10. Pattarello E. 28. Gucci N. (C) 21. Tavernelli C.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 25. Staver C. 13. Brosco R. (C) 23. Pellacani F. 16. Crialese C. 14. Valzania L. 6. Squizzato N. 7. Meazzi L. 20. Bentivegna A. 9. Vergani E. 11. Cangiano G.
Substitutes
30. Barboni F. 26. Bigi N. 22. Borra D. (G) 18. Damiani M. 4. Del Fabro D. 14. Fiore S. 11. Gaddini M. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 9. Ogunseye R. 23. Righetti S. 20. Santoro S. 8. Settembrini A.	8. Dagasso M. 28. De Marco A. 21. Ferraris A. 3. Giannini D. 10. Merola D. 27. Moruzzi B. 33. Mule E. 77. Pierozzi E. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 15. Tonin R. 17. Tunjov G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Squizzato N. ↓, Tunjov G. ↑,
37', Tunjov G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bentivegna A. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,
46', Crialese C. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
48', Ferraris A. 🟨,
61', Meazzi L. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
61', Cangiano G. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
67', Coccia L. ↓, Righetti S. ↑,
67', Gucci N. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
67', Pattarello E. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
83', Montini A. 🟨,
85', Guccione F. ↓, Damiani M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Arezzo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pescara is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arezzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
10.11.24	Milan Futuro - Arezzo	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Arezzo - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	Carpi - Arezzo	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Arezzo - SPAL	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	Sestri Levante - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLWW
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
09.11.24	Pescara - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Pescara	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Pescara - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Lucchese - Pescara	1:3 ✺
18.10.24	SPAL - Pescara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.01.24	Arezzo - Pescara	1:2
16.09.23	Pescara - Arezzo	3:2

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