Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Sestri Levante		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.8
	4.33	3.25	1.85	Watch
	4.46	3.24	1.88
	3.95	3.23	1.99	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.83
	4.23	3.22	1.81	Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (2.91)	3.2 ↑ (2.9)	1.86 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
21.8%

Draw
28.7%

Arezzo
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

31.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

31.3%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestri Levante's form might have worsened.

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arezzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestri Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arezzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sestri Levante - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anacoura J. (G) 11. De Felice F. 3. Furno C. 28. Giorno F. 43. Montebugnoli M. 25. Nunziatini F. 9. Parravicini N. 53. Pittino T. 27. Podda L. 18. Rosetti M. 5. Valentini N.	1. Trombini L. (G) 19. Chiosa M. 27. Coccia L. 15. Gigli N. 7. Guccione F. 17. Lazzarini M. 9. Ogunseye R. 6. Renzi A. 20. Santoro S. 8. Settembrini A. 21. Tavernelli C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Santoro S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
52', Podda L. 🟨,
52', 🟨,
59', Nunziatini F. ↓, Raggio G. S. ↑,
59', De Felice F. ↓, Brugognone G. ↑,
59', Podda L. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
64', Tavernelli C. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
68', Anacoura J. 🟨,
70', Settembrini A. 🟨,
72', Guccione F. ↓, Pattarello E. ↑,
72', Settembrini A. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
72', Ogunseye R. ↓, Gucci N. ↑,
75', Rosetti M. ↓, Oneto E. ↑,
78', Coccia L. 🟨,
85', Pittino T. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
85', Coccia L. ↓, Bigi N. ↑,
88', Lazzarini M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Recent matches Sestri Levante is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arezzo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Arezzo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sestri Levante won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.24	Lucchese - Sestri Levante	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Sestri Levante - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Pianese - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
24.09.24	Sestri Levante - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Legnago Salus - Sestri Levante	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTWLW
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
13.10.24	Arezzo - Rimini	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sassari Torres - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Arezzo - Ternana	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Arezzo - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Pontedera - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
28.04.24	Arezzo - Sestri Levante	2:1
23.12.23	Sestri Levante - Arezzo	0:0

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