Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
World	FIFA+


	Vis Pesaro		Pescara

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.4
	3.1	2.95	2.4
	3.33	2.98	2.33
	3.3	2.96	2.36	Watch
	3.34	2.91	2.28	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.55)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.36 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
29.2%

Draw
31.6%

Pescara
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

31.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

32.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vis Pesaro's form might have worsened.

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pescara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pescara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vis Pesaro - Pescara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vukovic A. (G) 15. Ceccacci M. 26. Coppola F. 4. Bove D. 3. Zoia R. 20. Obi J. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 67. Tavernaro F. 30. Orellana C. 9. Nicastro F. 34. Cannavo K.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 27. Moruzzi B. 13. Brosco R. (C) 23. Pellacani F. 77. Pierozzi E. 14. Valzania L. 6. Squizzato N. 7. Meazzi L. 10. Merola D. 21. Ferraris A. 11. Cangiano G.
Substitutes
77. Afonso Peixoto 95. Di Renzo G. 23. Forte M. 25. Mariani E. 12. Mariani M. (G) 13. Neri G. M. 1. Pozzi A. (G) 27. Raychev A. 40. Rizzo A. 16. Schiavon M. 44. Tombesi S. 5. Tonucci D.	9. Alberti T. 20. Bentivegna A. 16. Crialese C. 8. Dagasso M. 28. De Marco A. 5. Kraja E. 79. Lancini E. 2. Letizia G. 26. Lonardi L. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 25. Staver C. 15. Tonin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Orellana C. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Nicastro F. ⚽,
28', Di Paola M. 🟨,
32', Squizzato N. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Meazzi L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Squizzato N. ↓, Kraja E. ↑,
46', Valzania L. ↓, Dagasso M. ↑,
46', Pierozzi E. ↓, Letizia G. ↑,
46', Obi J. ↓, Raychev A. ↑,
47', Nicastro F. 🟨,
50', 2 - 2, Ferraris A. ⚽,
71', Cangiano G. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
72', Cannavo K. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
77', Meazzi L. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
78', Tavernaro F. ↓, Schiavon M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Letizia G. ⚽,
90+7', Schiavon M. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 4, Merola D. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Pescara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.25	Rimini - Vis Pesaro	3:4 ✺
11.05.25	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	1:1 ✺
07.05.25	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Milan Futuro - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWTT
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.25	Pescara - Catania	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Catania - Pescara	0:1 ✺
07.05.25	Pescara - Pianese	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Pescara - Campobasso	3:0 ✺
23.04.25	Legnago Salus - Pescara	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.25	Pescara - Vis Pesaro	2:2
03.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Pescara	1:0
18.02.24	Vis Pesaro - Pescara	4:0
16.10.23	Pescara - Vis Pesaro	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Pescara - Vis Pesaro	6:0
Italian Serie C Group B
23.02.22	Vis Pesaro - Pescara	0:2
12.09.21	Pescara - Vis Pesaro	2:2

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