Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CUP - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Lusail Iconic Stadium (Lusail)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	TV Publica
Belgium	Een, RTBF
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3, Nova
Cameroon	CRTV
Czech-republic	Nova
Denmark	TV2
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Magenta Sport
Malaysia	Astro
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Slovenia TV2
Sweden	TV4
Switzerland	SRF


	Argentina		France

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.88
	2.65	3.2	2.8
	2.7	3.25	2.88
	2.65	3.2	2.85
	2.65	3.31	2.95
	2.62	3	2.88
	2.74	3.36	2.94	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.82)	3.22 ↑ (3.07)	2.88 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentina
36.3%

Draw
30.1%

France
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

31.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

34.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentina than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for France than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.7%	17.6%	27.7%

Argentina - France Predictions

Users Predictions: 358 users predict this event. Argentina will win (votes: 196 - 54.7%). France will win (votes: 99 - 27.7%). It will Tie (votes: 63 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentina: 49.5% – 59.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Argentina was already of 1st place, has not chance of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, was already of quarter-finals, was already of semi-finals, was already of final, has a good chance of win world cup (53%).

France was already of 1st place, has not chance of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, was already of quarter-finals, was already of semi-finals, was already of final, has a chance of win world cup (47%).

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

France could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Argentina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentina
FIFA World Cup
13.12.22	Argentina - Croatia	3:0 ✺
09.12.22	Netherlands - Argentina	2:3 penalties ✺
03.12.22	Argentina - Australia	2:1 ✺
30.11.22	Poland - Argentina	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Argentina - Mexico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- France
FIFA World Cup
14.12.22	France - Morocco	2:0 ✺
10.12.22	England - France	1:2 ✺
04.12.22	France - Poland	3:1 ✺
30.11.22	Tunisia - France	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	France - Denmark	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
30.06.18	France - Argentina	4:3

Argentina - France: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide