Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: South American Championship U20 - Final Group - Round 5

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Antonio Anzoátegui (Puerto La Cruz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2


	Argentina U20		Paraguay U20

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.47	10.19
				Watch
	1.29	4.8	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)	5.14 ↑ (4.2)	9.35 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentina U20
72.3%

Draw
17.9%

Paraguay U20
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

21.2%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentina U20's performance.

Paraguay U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentina U20 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentina U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraguay U20 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Argentina U20 - Paraguay U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinet J. (G) River Plate 4. Gorosito D. Boca Juniors 2. Gimenez J. Rosario Central 14. Ramirez T. Argentinos Jrs 18. Rodriguez Pagano T. 17. Acuna V. Newells Old Boys 8. Delgado M. Boca Juniors 7. Carrizo M. Velez Sarsfield 10. Echeverri C. (C) Manchester City 21. Subiabre I. River Plate 22. Hidalgo S. Independiente	12. Rojas V. (G) Libertad Asuncion 15. Paoli G. 5. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. (C) Cerro Porteno 2. Arguello M. Olimpia Asuncion 4. Leon D. Cerro Porteno 8. Puzzo S. Talleres Cordoba 16. Gomez L. 7. Aguayo G. Cerro Porteno 10. Kmet L. 14. Morinigo T. Olimpia Asuncion 9. Caballero Fleytas T. I. Nacional Asuncion
Substitutes
19. Andino S. Godoy Cruz 1. Barbi S. (G) Talleres Cordoba 12. Chavez A. (G) 5. Gerez M. Lanus 11. Mastantuono F. River Plate 16. Obregon A. River Plate 15. Perruzzi I. 13. Pierani V. Estudiantes L.P. 6. Villalba J. Gimnasia L.P.	21. Alfonso O. 3. Balbuena A. 19. Fernandez D. Sol de America 17. Fretes A. Libertad Asuncion 1. Insfran F. (G) Olimpia Asuncion 23. Leguizamon A. Guarani 11. Mino Amarilla C. E. Guarani 13. Ramos D. Sportivo Iteno 22. Sosa L. (G)
Coaches
Placente D.	Duscher A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Kmet L. ⚽, Morinigo T. (A),
38', Puzzo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Acuna V. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
46', Hidalgo S. ↓, Andino S. ↑,
46', Gimenez J. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
46', Villalba J. 🟨,
47', 0 - 2, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ⚽, Arguello M. (A),
52', 1 - 2, Carrizo M. ⚽,
59', Subiabre I. 🟨,
60', Gorosito D. ↓, Obregon A. ↑,
62', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
62', Kmet L. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Carrizo M. ⚽, Villalba J. (A),
79', Fernandez D. 🟨,
79', Delgado M. 🟨,
81', Aguayo G. ↓, Leguizamon A. ↑,
81', Morinigo T. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Leon D. ⚽, Quintana Rodriguez L. A. (A),
85', Andino S. 🟨,

Preview

Spain is Qualified for Rugby Europe Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Georgia is Qualified for Rugby Europe Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Spain could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spain won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 41:173 (average 8.2:34.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentina U20
South American Championship U20
13.02.25	Brazil U20 - Argentina U20	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Argentina U20 - Colombia U20	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Uruguay U20 - Argentina U20	3:4 ✺
04.02.25	Chile U20 - Argentina U20	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Ecuador U20 - Argentina U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWWT
- Paraguay U20
South American Championship U20
13.02.25	Paraguay U20 - Uruguay U20	1:0 ✺
10.02.25	Paraguay U20 - Brazil U20	1:3 ✺
07.02.25	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Colombia U20 - Paraguay U20	4:0 ✺
31.01.25	Paraguay U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

South American Championship U20
21.01.23	Paraguay U20 - Argentina U20	2:1
20.01.19	Paraguay U20 - Argentina U20	1:1
04.02.15	Argentina U20 - Paraguay U20	3:0
16.01.15	Argentina U20 - Paraguay U20	0:1
11.01.13	Argentina U20 - Paraguay U20	1:2

Argentina U20 - Paraguay U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide