The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liniers 40.9%
Draw 31.8%
Brown de Adrogué 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
31.5%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
30%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liniers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Liniers - Brown de Adrogué Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. De Feliche C. (G) 2. Bouvier J. 11. Camejo F. 10. Fernandez G. 4. Formichelli S. 3. Mackay G. 8. Palacio S. 6. Pereyra E. 9. Rodriguez C. 5. Roth J. 7. Venetucci V.
1. Giovini S. (G) 2. Aguirre C. 9. Baez B. 4. Cesare L. 7. Gonzalez A. 3. Guerrero B. 6. Irusta L. 11. Padovani O. 8. Patrizio T. 5. Robles E. 10. Sproat M. (C)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Padovani O. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Formichelli S. ⚽,
39', Linas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Di Motta R. 🟨,
59', Sallaberry I. ↓, Gallegos E. ↑,
59', Fernandez G. ↓, Coria T. ↑,
59', Padovani O. ↓, Visco A. ↑,
60', Gonzalez A. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
70', Baez B. ↓, Luraschi G. ↑,
71', Linas M. ↓, Venetucci V. ↑,
76', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 18).
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Liniers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Liniers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Liniers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Liniers
38
10
13
15
31:39
-8
43
19
Brown Adrogue
38
8
15
15
24:37
-13
39
Last Results with these Odds
Liniers - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.6%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.