Match Info

Primera B - Round 14

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)


	Real Pilar		Argentino de Merlo

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.78	3.4	Watch
	2.22	2.77	3.63
	2.26	2.68	3.61	Watch
	2.25	2.63	3.5
	2.21	2.69	3.63
	2.08	2.88	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.08)	2.74 ↓ (2.88)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
41.2%

Draw
33.1%

Argentino de Merlo
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

29.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Real Pilar - Argentino de Merlo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Argentino de Merlo (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentino de Merlo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Achucarro D. 10. Blanco S. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 2. Govi G. 7. Martinez F. 4. Puch M. 9. Riquelme M. D. 5. Rojas M. 8. Vergara D.	1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 13. Cohen E. 8. Medina C. 4. Monge L. 9. Moreira L. 17. Paulovich T. 10. Salvador A. 19. Scisci G. 5. Sica N. 2. Tamborelli E. 3. Ursino D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Cohen E. 🟨,
32', Martin B. 🟨,
37', Blanco S. ↓, Chambi L. ↑,
41', 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Salvador A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Puch M. ↓, Basualdo N. ↑,
55', Franco E. 🟨,
55', Vergara D. ↓, Moran J. ↑,
62', Martinez F. ↓, Cesar J. ↑,
62', Chambi L. ↓, Mancini V. ↑,
65', 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Cesar J. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2.

Real Pilar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Argentino de Merlo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Pilar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Pilar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61
14	Argentino de Merlo	38	11	11	16	33:39	-6	44

Last Results with these Odds

Real Pilar - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 42.85%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
26.04.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Laferrere	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Flandria - Real Pilar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLW
- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
25.04.26	Argentino de Merlo - UAI Urquiza	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Villa Dálmine - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentino de Merlo	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
26.07.25	Argentino de Merlo - Real Pilar	0:1
08.03.25	Real Pilar - Argentino de Merlo	3:1
Argentinian Primera C
10.07.22	Argentino de Merlo - Real Pilar	1:0
05.03.22	Real Pilar - Argentino de Merlo	1:1
31.07.21	Argentino de Merlo - Real Pilar	2:2
14.03.21	Real Pilar - Argentino de Merlo	1:1
05.12.20	Argentino de Merlo - Real Pilar	1:1

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