The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Merlo 37%
Draw 32.5%
San Martín de Burzaco 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
33.5%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
31.9%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Martín de Burzaco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Martín de Burzaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Argentino de Merlo - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Oviedo G. (G) 3. Lopez F. 6. Lopez V. 19. Maldonado F. 11. Martin B. 8. Medina C. 10. Salvador A. 7. Scisci G. 5. Sica N. 2. Tamborelli E. 4. Ursino D.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 3. Barrera N. 9. Chavez B. 11. Gauna N. A. 6. Gonzalez R. 4. Lazarev R. 8. Modon S. 2. Orellana D. 5. Peralta R. 10. Treppo E. 7. Velazquez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Chavez B. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Lazarev R. 🟨,
45', Lopez F. 🟨,
45+1', Peralta R. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez F. ↓, Paz Sierra L. ↑,
46', Maceri B. ↓, Maldonado F. ↑,
46', Jerez T. ↓, Celiz T. ↑,
67', Scisci G. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
67', Siliman A. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
68', Diaz R. ↓, Treppo E. ↑,
71', Denis K. 🟨,
76', Chavez B. ↓, Zagert E. ↑,
86', 🟨,
88', Velazquez R. ↓, Selpa E. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', Zagert E. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 3.
Argentino de Merlo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
SM de Burzaco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Argentino de Merlo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Merlo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
14
Argentino de Merlo
38
11
11
16
33:39
-6
44
Last Results with these Odds
Argentino de Merlo - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.21%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.27%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Oviedo G. (G) 
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