Match Info

Primera B - Round 14

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Francisco Boga Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	San Martín de Burzaco		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.92	3.7	Watch
	2.02	2.91	4.08
	1.97	2.91	4.12	Watch
	1.95	2.88	3.9
	2.02	3.03	4.11
	2.1	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.1)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.85 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Martín de Burzaco
45.4%

Draw
31%

Brown de Adrogué
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

San Martín de Burzaco - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SM de Burzaco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brown de Adrogué (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SM de Burzaco (votes: 1 - 50%). Brown de Adrogué (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 3. Barrera N. 8. Diaz R. 10. Gauna N. A. 6. Gonzalez R. 2. Lazarev R. 4. Modon S. 5. Peralta R. 11. Serpa I. 7. Velazquez R. 9. Zagert E.	1. Giovini S. (G) 2. Aguirre C. 9. Baez B. 7. Bogado J. 6. Irusta L. 3. Ortiz A. 11. Padovani O. 8. Patrizio T. 4. Pieres M. 5. Robles E. 10. Sproat M. (C)
Substitutes
20. Chavez B. 16. Denis K. 14. Escudero M. 17. Lezcano L. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 13. Orellana D. 19. Selpa E. 18. Siliman A. 15. Treppo E.	13. Cardozo D. 15. Castano A. 14. Cesare L. 16. Gonzalez A. 17. Gonzalez L. 20. Luraschi G. 19. Meaurio N. 18. Visco A. 12. Wysocki M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Robles E. 🟨,
59', Padovani O. ↓, Visco A. ↑,
67', Velazquez R. ↓, Treppo E. ↑,
70', Baez B. ↓, Meaurio N. ↑,
70', Ortiz A. ↓, Cardozo D. ↑,
76', Zagert E. ↓, Chavez B. ↑,
80', Bogado J. ↓, Castano A. ↑,
80', Sproat M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
83', 🟨,
87', Gonzalez R. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
87', Serpa I. ↓, Selpa E. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	San Martin Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39:41	-2	50
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Last Results with these Odds

San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.44%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
26.04.26	Deportivo Armenio - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Flandria	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Argentino de Quilmes - San Martín de Burzaco	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Comunicaciones - San Martín de Burzaco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLTW
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
25.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Villa San Carlos	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Liniers - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	UAI Urquiza - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
08.09.25	Brown de Adrogué - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0
19.04.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Brown de Adrogué	1:2

Upcoming Matches