Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 5 July 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Argentino de Quilmes		Cañuelas

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	5.5
	1.55	3.75	6	Watch
	1.51	3.59	6.36
	1.49	3.84	6.34
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.49	3.86	6.74
	1.52	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.84)	3.75 ↑ (3.24)	5.9 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Quilmes
60.1%

Draw
24.4%

Cañuelas
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

28.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

27.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentino de Quilmes's performance.

Cañuelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cañuelas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino de Quilmes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Argentino de Quilmes - Cañuelas Predictions

Users Predictions: Argentino de Quilmes will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentino de Quilmes won 2.

Argentino de Quilmes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cañuelas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Argentino de Quilmes is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Argentino de Quilmes to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Argentino de Quilmes won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Argentino de Quilmes won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
01.07.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
24.06.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
17.06.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	2:3 ✺
01.06.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWWW
- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
29.06.24	Cañuelas - Fénix	0:1 ✺
23.06.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Cañuelas	2:1 ✺
17.06.24	Los Andes - Cañuelas	3:2 ✺
08.06.24	Cañuelas - Villa Dálmine	0:1 ✺
01.06.24	Cañuelas - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
16.02.24	Cañuelas - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0
08.07.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Cañuelas	2:1
11.03.23	Cañuelas - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2
23.07.22	Cañuelas - Argentino de Quilmes	2:1
26.03.22	Argentino de Quilmes - Cañuelas	0:1
11.10.21	Argentino de Quilmes - Cañuelas	1:1
15.06.21	Cañuelas - Argentino de Quilmes	0:1

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