Match Info

Primera B - Round 29

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Barranca Quilmena stadium (Quilmes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Argentino de Quilmes		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.80	2.85
	2.80	2.85	2.43
	2.58	2.78	2.98
	2.5	2.8	2.98	Watch
	2.50	2.70	2.95
	2.56	2.87	3.03
	2.46	2.75	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.8)	2.79 ↓ (2.9)	2.87 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Quilmes
35.8%

Draw
32.6%

Real Pilar
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

30.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Pilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Pilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Argentino de Quilmes - Real Pilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 13. Barreto R. 6. Castano S. 2. Cosciuc F. 11. Filliol F. 10. Filosa L. 3. Kruger J. 4. Lando F. 7. Martinez J. 9. Torancio E. 5. Vega M.	1. Perafan P. (G) 2. Abre F. 6. Achucarro D. 3. Franco E. 8. Gelos V. 4. Leguiza D. 7. Martin B. 11. Pansardi F. 5. Rios N. 9. Rodriguez E. 10. Vergara D.
Substitutes
16. Alfonso S. 18. Ceccotti M. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 19. Compagnucci M. 14. Diez E. 20. Guzman L. 15. Martin A. 17. Pena D. . Sanchez N.	13. Basualdo N. 20. Camargo T. 18. Cesar J. 15. Escurra N. 17. Gonzalez D. 14. Isola G. 19. Mancini V. 16. Rojas M. 12. Sanchez S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', 🟨,
55', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61
16	Argentino de Quilmes	38	9	16	13	30:37	-7	43

Last Results with these Odds

Argentino de Quilmes - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.83%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
01.08.26	UAI Urquiza - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
14.07.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Argentino de Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTWL
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
01.08.26	Real Pilar - Defensores Unidos	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Comunicaciones - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Real Pilar - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:1 ✺
14.07.26	Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar	3:2 ✺
10.07.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Camioneros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
29.03.26	Real Pilar - Argentino de Quilmes	3:2
19.07.25	Real Pilar - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0
01.03.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Real Pilar	2:0

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