Match Info

Primera B - Round 28

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Real Pilar		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.10	4.50
	1.75	3.05	4.65	Watch
	1.76	3.13	4.56
	1.74	3.25	4.79	Watch
	1.72	3.05	4.45
	1.75	3.14	4.8
	1.74	3.10	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.68)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	4.59 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
51.6%

Draw
28.9%

Defensores Unidos
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

27.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

25.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Real Pilar - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 2. Abre F. 6. Achucarro D. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 8. Gelos V. 4. Leguiza D. 7. Martin B. 5. Rios N. 9. Rodriguez E. 10. Vergara D.	. Henricot F. (G) . Alarcon M. N. . Baigorria A. . Gimenez M. . Herrera S. . Iribarne S. . Olivera L. . Ortigoza M. . Sombra A. . Suarez F. . Tello H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
21', Tello H. 🟨,
26', Tello H. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Crocco M. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
58', Suarez F. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Girard T. ⚽,
64', Baigorria A. ↓, Redondo K. ↑,
64', Sombra A. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
73', Martin B. ↓, Mancini V. ↑,
74', Lopez J. ↓, Iribarne S. ↑,
75', Lopez M. ↓, Rapetti M. ↑,
83', Rios N. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
83', Vergara D. ↓, Camargo F. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Camargo F. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 19).

In recent matches, Real Pilar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Defensores Unidos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Real Pilar is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Pilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33:39	-6	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
25.07.26	Comunicaciones - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Real Pilar - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:1 ✺
14.07.26	Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar	3:2 ✺
10.07.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Camioneros	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWT
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
25.07.26	Defensores Unidos - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Villa Dálmine - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
14.07.26	Defensores Unidos - Excursionistas	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Defensores Unidos	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Defensores Unidos - Argentino de Merlo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
21.03.26	Defensores Unidos - Real Pilar	1:2

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