Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Israel	Sport 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Argentinos Juniors		River Plate

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.8	Watch
	2.25	2.92	3.65	Watch
	2.27	2.98	3.96
	2.19	2.98	3.84	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.18	2.93	3.75	Watch
	2.25	2.83	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.7)	2.92 ↑ (2.78)	3.76 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
42.6%

Draw
32.3%

River Plate
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

33.2%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Plate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Argentinos Juniors - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - River Plate (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cortes B. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 4. Godoy E. 14. Coronel K. 24. Fattori F. 10. Lescano A. (C) 23. Lopez H. 11. Oroz N. 29. Viveros E. 27. Molina T.	41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 6. Moreno A. 26. Galvan T. 10. Quintero J. (C) 22. Castano K. 32. Ruberto A.
Substitutes
18. Fernandez L. 7. Giaccone L. 8. Gomez L. 48. Jainikoski F. 30. Morales I. 17. Paredes F. 33. Perez E. 47. Porcel D. 20. Prieto S. 2. Ramirez T. 6. Riquelme R. D. 12. Siri Payer G. (G)	16. Bustos F. 1. Centurion E. (G) 11. Colidio F. 17. Diaz P. 44. Freitas J. 23. Galarza M. 39. Lencina S. 19. Paez K. 5. Portillo J. 7. Salas M. 38. Subiabre I. 18. Vina M.
Coaches
Diez N.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Montiel G. 🟨,
13', Acuna M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Lopez H. ⚽, Viveros E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castano K. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
60', Acuna M. ↓, Vina M. ↑,
62', Coronel K. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
62', Viveros E. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
69', Lopez H. ↓, Jainikoski F. ↑,
71', Ruberto A. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
71', Galvan T. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
75', Rivero L. 🟨,
75', Moreno A. ↓, Portillo J. ↑,
83', Molina T. ↓, Porcel D. ↑,
83', Oroz N. ↓, Perez E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 2.

Argentinos Juniors has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

River Plate is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Argentinos Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Argentinos Juniors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Cardozo J. (Foot Injury) Florentin G. (Muscle Injury) Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Veron G. (Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Armani F. (Heel Injury) Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Driussi S. (Muscle Injury) Fausto Vera (Red Card) Paez K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Argentinos Juniors - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.14%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.02.26	Racing - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.01.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
21.01.26	Argentinos Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTWL
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.02.26	River Plate - Tigre	1:4 ✺
01.02.26	Rosario Central - River Plate	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Barracas Central - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
17.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.05.24	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.01.24	River Plate - Argentinos Juniors	1:1
20.08.23	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate	3:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.23	River Plate - Argentinos Juniors	2:1
02.10.22	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate	0:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.04.22	River Plate - Argentinos Juniors	4:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.10.21	River Plate - Argentinos Juniors	3:0

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