Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)


	Deportivo Madryn		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	5
	1.93	3	4.1
	1.95	3	4.33
	2.04	2.88	4.34
	1.89	2.96	5.37
	1.91	3	4.33
	1.85	3.08	4.71
	1.9	2.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.08)	2.98 ↓ (3.02)	4.62 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
48.5%

Draw
31.3%

Atlético de Rafaela
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

31.3%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

31%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Deportivo Madryn - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Madryn: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Zules J. 6. Braghieri D. 3. Zuliani H. 8. Peinipil M. 5. Recalde F. 10. Sanchez N. 7. Crego D. 9. Diellos D. 11. Ferreyra B.	1. Grinovero A. (G) 4. Stizza J. 2. Colombo R. 6. Jappert K. 3. Oliver F. 8. Portillo A. 7. Capurro J. 5. Fissore M. 11. Berrondo A. 9. Toldo F. 10. Albertengo L.
Substitutes
17. Arreguin E. 12. Hass J. (G) 16. Jara E. 13. Mansilla M. 14. Moreno A. 20. Palacio J. 19. Perez B. 15. Rojas J. 18. Zegarra Z.	15. Aguero E. 17. Albertengo G. 12. Bergia M. (G) 14. Bravo I. 18. Funez N. 20. Galeano J. 13. Kozlovsky N. 16. Merlino L. 19. Vidal P.
Coaches
Gracian L.	Pancaldo R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Ferreyra B. ⚽,
20', Capurro J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Albertengo L. ⚽,
41', Grinovero A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Diellos D. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
66', Ardiles F. ↓, Arreguin E. ↑,
69', Stizza J. ↓, Kozlovsky N. ↑,
69', Fissore M. ↓, Merlino L. ↑,
69', Berrondo A. ↓, Vidal P. ↑,
79', Toldo F. ↓, Galeano J. ↑,
84', Albertengo L. ↓, Funez N. ↑,
86', Braghieri D. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
86', Crego D. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
90+1', Sanchez N. ↓, Perez B. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17).

Deportivo Madryn is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético de Rafaela has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Deportivo Madryn is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Deportivo Madryn to win the game is with odds 1.98.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.24	San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Deportivo Madryn - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Madryn	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Deportivo Madryn - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWW
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.24	San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Atlético de Rafaela - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Chaco For Ever - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Club Almagro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.09.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Madryn	0:0
23.04.23	Deportivo Madryn - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1
28.03.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Madryn	1:1

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