Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Gonzalez F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV


	Corinthians		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.77	3.3	4.8
	1.75	3.4	5	Watch
	1.78	3.35	5.32
	1.79	3.26	5.32
	1.73	3.3	4.6	Watch
	1.78	3.44	4.71	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	4.94 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
53.2%

Draw
27.8%

Argentinos Juniors
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

Corinthians - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Carlos Miguel (G) 23. Fagner 3. Torres F. 25. Caca 46. Hugo 10. Garro R. 14. Raniele 27. Breno Bidon 11. Angel Romero 9. Yuri Alberto 36. Wesley	50. Rodriguez D. (G) 18. Meza F. 4. Godoy E. 13. Palacio T. 7. Montiel S. 21. Oroz N. 36. Gamarra A. 29. Viveros E. 10. Veron G. 9. Romero M. 11. Batallini D.
Substitutes
4. Caetano 12. Cassio (G) 5. Fausto Vera 17. Giovane 26. Guilherme Biro 13. Gustavo Henrique 19. Gustavo Mosquito 77. Igor Coronado 35. Leo Mana 21. Matheus Bidu 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 20. Pedro Raul	16. Alvarez F. 5. Cardozo J. 25. Gomez L. 32. Gondou L. 15. Heredia L. 26. Herrera J. 22. Lescano A. 28. Perello M. 20. Prieto S. 23. Santamaria T. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 6. Vega R.
Coaches
Toni Oliveira	Guede P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Fagner (A),
20', Oroz N. 🟨,
33', Gamarra A. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Wesley ⚽, Angel Romero (A),
43', 3 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Torres F. ↓, Gustavo Henrique ↑,
55', Garro R. 🟨,
57', Romero M. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
57', Oroz N. ↓, Cardozo J. ↑,
57', Gamarra A. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
68', Veron G. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
70', Angel Romero ↓, Gustavo Mosquito ↑,
70', Garro R. ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
80', Yuri Alberto ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
80', Wesley ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Fausto Vera ⚽,

Preview

Corinthians is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Argentinos Juniors is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Argentinos Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Argentinos Juniors have a series of home games.

In this match Corinthians is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
11.05.24	Flamengo - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.24	Nacional Asuncion - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.05.24	Corinthians - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	América RN - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.04.24	Corinthians - Fluminense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTWW
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.24	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.24	Racing Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Corinthians	1:0
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	Argentinos Juniors - Corinthians	0:0
19.04.23	Corinthians - Argentinos Juniors	0:1

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