Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN
Georgia	Silk Universal
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Pluto TV


	Argentinos Juniors		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.25	Watch
	1.51	4.1	6.25
	1.52	3.7	6.4	Watch
	1.53	4.01	6.58
	1.53	4.05	6.53	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.75
	1.58	4.12	6.44	Watch
	1.7	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2.8)	3.92 ↑ (3.1)	6.15 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
60.7%

Draw
24%

Barcelona Guayaquil
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona Guayaquil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Argentinos Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Barcelona (5.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 50%). Barcelona (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cortes B. (G) 22. Lozano L. 6. Riquelme R. D. 4. Godoy E. 20. Prieto S. 24. Fattori F. 23. Lopez H. 10. Lescano A. 11. Oroz N. 29. Viveros E. 47. Porcel D.	1. Contreras J. (G) 26. Castillo B. 33. Baez J. 4. Vallecilla G. 12. Mina J. 8. Celiz M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 18. Carabali B. 10. Rojas J. 14. Rangel A. 9. Benedetto D.
Substitutes
26. Bravo C. 31. Carrizo F. 14. Coronel K. 18. Fernandez L. 21. Florentin G. 7. Giaccone L. 8. Gomez L. 48. Jainikoski F. 30. Morales I. 17. Paredes F. 2. Ramirez T. 12. Siri Payer G. (G)	19. Borja Suarez R. A. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 50. Garcia J. 7. Gomez J. 23. Martinez T. 5. Montano C. 80. Nunez S. 11. Parrales M. 15. Perlaza J. 3. Sosa L. 27. Vargas W. 21. Villalba H.
Coaches
Diez N.	Farias Acosta C. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Benedetto D. 🟨,
41', Carabali B. 🟨,
45+5', Martinez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Viveros E. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
62', Rojas J. 🟨,
64', Castillo B. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
64', Benedetto D. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
64', Mina J. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
65', Rangel A. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ⚽, Celiz M. (A),
68', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
69', Oroz N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
73', Fattori F. 🟨,
74', Carabali B. ↓, Vargas W. ↑,
77', Porcel D. ↓, Morales I. ↑,
78', Rojas J. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
90+1', Lescano A. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Lescano A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Baez J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lopez H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Villalba H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lozano L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Martinez T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Morales I. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Parrales M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Giaccone L. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Rangel A. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Riquelme R. D. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Celiz M. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Godoy E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.

Argentinos Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barcelona is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Argentinos Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.

In this match, Argentinos Juniors is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Argentinos Juniors - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.83%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Barcelona Guayaquil - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.52%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Copa Libertadores
18.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Racing - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.01.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLTT
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Inter Miami	2:2 ✺
04.02.26	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
18.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Argentinos Juniors	0:1

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