The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barcelona Guayaquil 44%
Draw 29.3%
SD Aucas 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
29%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
28.4%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
11.1%
44.4%
Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Aucas will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Aucas (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - Aucas (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aucas (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. 14. Rangel A. 15. Perlaza J. 32. Lugo M. 8. Celiz M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 16. Cano L. 51. Wila J. 9. Benedetto D.
13. Piedra H. (G) 37. Zova A. 16. Gustavino L. 3. Ontaneda J. (C) 2. Morales S. 6. Spina A. L. 10. Preciado E. 21. Guzman P. 18. Mena A. 28. Quinonez R. 7. Miranda B.
Substitutes
63. Caidedo K. 26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 7. Gomez J. 23. Martinez T. 29. Medina J. 70. Mejia M. 12. Mina J. 5. Montano C. 80. Nunez S. 45. Preciado P.
29. Arroyo L. 11. Bolanos R. 1. Chaves I. (G) 20. Espinosa D. S. 55. Olaya V. 33. Porozo S. 89. Sosa A. 14. Tapiero S. 57. Vera M.
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.
Araujo N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (Penalty Awarded),
23', Zova A. 🟨,
41', Cano L. 🟨,
43', Mena A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cano L. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
64', Lugo M. 🟨,
69', Benedetto D. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
73', Zova A. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
76', Wila J. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
77', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Montano C. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Nunez S. ⚽, Montano C. (A),
81', Guzman P. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
85', Perlaza J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Celiz M. ⚽, Martinez T. (A),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1.
Barcelona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aucas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Barcelona could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
Chile
Ecuador
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Contreras J. (G) 
Carabali B. 
Baez J. 
Lugo M. 
Miranda B. 
Nunez S. 
Tapiero S. 
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