Match Info

Date: 20 April 2021, Tuesday


	Argentinos Juniors		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4.1
	1.95	3.15	4	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.4
	2.04	3.21	4.1
	2	3.25	3.9	Watch
	2.03	3.28	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.84)	3.23 ↓ (3.38)	3.99 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
47.7%

Draw
28.9%

Nacional Montevideo
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

17.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Argentinos Juniors - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Argentinos Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Argentinos Juniors is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.04.21	San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Argentinos Juniors - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
04.04.21	Colón - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
27.03.21	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	3:2 ✺
22.03.21	Racing - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTWL
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.21	Rentistas - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
04.04.21	Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
28.03.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
24.03.21	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	1:2 ✺
21.03.21	Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.02.13	Nacional Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors	3:1

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