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Current Win Probability
Nacional Montevideo 54.9%
Draw 26.4%
Liverpool Montevideo 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
27.3%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
26.8%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.
Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Nacional (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nacional Montevideo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mejia L. (G) 13. Ancheta E. 4. Coates S. (C) 29. Millan J. 27. Romero D. 23. Rodriguez L. 8. Oliva C. 7. Lopez N. 6. Boggio L. 14. Lodeiro N. 9. Gomez M.
21. Lentinelly S. (G) 24. Amaro K. 2. Rea M. 23. Castillo E. 32. Bregante F. 16. Acosta L. 20. Rabunal M. 8. Napoli G. 11. Castro M. 10. Hernandez A. 7. Vallejo N.
Substitutes
15. Calione P. 20. Carneiro G. 19. De Los Santos J. 30. Dos Santos A. 24. Mereles E. 2. Palacios H. 33. Patino J. 10. Pereyra M. 25. Suarez I. (G) 16. Villalba Jaume L. M.
5. Catarozzi F. 18. Cayetano A. 19. Forclaz E. 9. Machado R. 25. Marquez E. (G) 80. Mir M. 4. Perdomo F. 17. Soria N. 3. Suarez L. 31. Wasilewsky L.
Coaches
Peirano P.
Papa J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Boggio L. 🟨,
10', Rabunal M. 🟨,
12', Ancheta E. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
35', Hernandez A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Lopez N. ⚽,
41', Rea M. 🟨,
41', Castillo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Acosta L. ↓, Catarozzi F. ↑,
62', Castro M. ↓, Forclaz E. ↑,
62', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
66', Rodriguez L. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
71', Lopez N. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
75', Forclaz E. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Boggio L. ⚽,
85', Rabunal M. 🟨,
85', Bregante F. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
85', Amaro K. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
90+1', Napoli G. ↓, Soria N. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, De Los Santos J. ⚽,
90+3', Gomez M. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
Nacional is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Liverpool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
Russia
South-america
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Mejia L. (G) 
Ancheta E. 
Millan J. 
Vallejo N. 
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